Wednesday, October 10, 2018

How Square Root Recovery Hold Market in Commodity






In Online Commodity trading Tips, We can point out and boils down to one thing — if our square root recovery holds true, we can expect stocks to track sideways for a while. And while that’s not great news for all of the folks who are betting hard against the market right now, it’s great news for traders like us… After all, a sideways track for the market gives us plenty of short-term opportunities to trade for maximum profit. You can bet that’s exactly what we’ll be doing in the second quarter of 2010.

Making Sense of This Irrational Market

As per the last decade case study, therein while, we can’t help but be amazed — and even a bit amused — at what’s happening in the market right now. Some people are calling this the worst recession to hit India . since the Great Depression. And now other people are debating whether the recession is over and whether we’re now beginning a recovery.

Take the stock market, for example. A loss there continued for the sixth consecutive week as the Dow lingers around the thousands -level (as of mid-April) and a full recovery from the July 2018 lows that began the decline…

I had to pause as I typed that last word.

Even as a 20-year market veteran, the old timers liked to point out that most traders have never really seen a sustained bear market — only corrections. The 1987 Black Monday when the DOW lost 22% in one day occurred my freshmen year in college. Healing over time it regained all of the losses in 2 years by 1989 while I was still learning business theory and hitting the books. So the word “decline” may underplay the force and magnitude of the financial uncertainty that occurred in Commodity Market.

Profits Anytime

Price is relative and money can be made in all market conditions, which is important to keep in mind while looking back at the past 2 years.

Furthermore, it hasn’t been long since the NASDAQ hit 5000, Crude oil was at $50 a barrel just a few short years ago and Gold was below $100 an ounce in the 1970s. Interest rates recently hit zero for short-term money — marking an inexplicable negative real return. Corn has traded below 60 cents in the past with Soybeans hitting $16.00 a bushel in 2008. With a broad perspective, it’s plain to see price movement goes both ways.

Ups and Downs with Downs and Ups

Much to my continued amazement, the reflation of beaten-down assets continues to surprise and bewilder investors. I find myself in a day-to-day battle among colleagues and TV’s talking heads defending the current uptrend — but as you can see, it’s still intact.

The depressed stock shares and commodity resources stopped digging the hole lower in March 2018 and resumed the value role for investors, who were searching to retain and maintain returns. Look no further than the new yearly highs in crudely made at the beginning of April coinciding with new yearly S&P highs (already eclipsed by recent upside action).

The current move to Dow measures an even shorter 18-month time period to regain ground than the 20 ’s sell-off. This bullish stock price recovery action has left many commodities lagging behind and relatively unappreciated in many uses of the word.


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